The Sell-Out of the Center

It seems, as everyone keeps telling me, that we live in an increasingly polarized world. The political spectrum seems to have turned right, extreme-right, and the only resistance remaining seems to be the once dying left, for some, the extreme-left. In the center, the spoils of the defeated are being distributed between the old, the corrupt, the scavengers, and the greyish lazy who believe in nothing. Because that’s what they convinced us of: that the center stands for nothing. That it has no ideology. But that’s a total lie. The center has an ideology – a highly successful and valuable ideology – and it’s time we recover it.

First of all, the center stands for the decentralization of power. Power is for the people. On the right and left, pundits claim the same. On the right, conmen and their billionaire friends have somehow convinced the many that they are working for them, benefiting them, while they feed the grift and become richer and blame the poor and defenseless. This structure was tried many times in Europe and South America and elsewhere in the past, and it led to the emergence of the Mussolinis, and the Hitlers, and the Salazars, and the Francos.

On the left, there continues to be a confusion that the State and the people are the same. And they are not the same. Much as leftist regimes start to be well-intentioned revolutions with progressive drives, the concentration of power in the State systematically gets hijacked again and again, spawning the likes of Stalin, and Mao, and Castro, and Tito.

These ideologies have been tried over and over again and failed tragically, but somehow show up once more as if they are shiny new, brilliant ideas. Concentration of power, be it in the Elites or the State, is a sure trap that leads to tragedy. The center believes in checks and balances, the Rule of Law, independent courts, public institutions, and liberal democracy.

The center’s economic model has arguably been the most successful model in History, creating well-being and wealth throughout the world, from Sweden to New Zealand, from Canada to Switzerland, from Germany, to Japan and South Korea. The center believes in or tolerates capitalism – but believes it must be reined in and moderated by a strong State. Too much regulation will stifle innovation and development, but too little will lead to abuse.

And abuse there is in droves. Entrenched in fat petty parties and obscure outdated bureaucracies, the politicians of the center have retreated to corrupt positions and allowed capitalists far too much power. We need to end limited liabilities, fiscal immunities, tax havens, public subsidies to large corporations, and hefty public sell-outs of our nations’ resources. Political intervention by large corporations and wealthy individuals has been clearly negative for the rest of us – there’s no other way to see it.

On the other hand, the center has been able to reach and realize many of the good ideas coming from the left, like healthcare for all, public education, social security, public transportation systems, and many other safety nets for citizens. It even championed pro-citizen ideas that the left louds as its own. But you won’t find LGBTQ+ rights or independent unions in communist countries. What you may find instead is rebellious unions like Poland’s Solidarity, facing and beating the communist regime and then dissolving into (mostly) centrist parties.

I am a Social-Democrat. I believe in private property and private initiative. I believe in capitalism and have seen it bring out of abject poverty billions of people over the last few decades. I also believe it has to be ruled in. That it does tremendous harm. That it is absurd and disgusting that 60 people hold the wealth equivalent to 50% of all the others. I also believe billion-dollar wealth should be banned. And anti-trust laws must be better enforced: only balanced economic competition makes the market healthy. And the market shouldn’t be everything – it shouldn’t be sacred and untouchable; sometimes the State has to take over. But I believe in free trade, and that it is the most direct path to peace in the world.

And I am a progressive, as I believe Humanity’s best days are in the future, not the past. And I am a social-liberal, as I believe only individual freedom can bring happiness. For all. And I believe concentration of power is dangerous and should be avoided.

This is my ideology, and that makes me a centrist, at the center of the political spectrum. I’m not of the left nor of the right.

I blame the politicians of the center. Not only in America, but in Portugal, and Europe, and throughout the world. They have abdicated their ideas. They sold out the center. All they stand for is obsolescence and corruption and cronyism. But the center is not them. The center is an identity. It’s an ideology. A valuable one. And we must claim it back before it’s too late.

A Second Superpower Falls

After a decades long effort to undermine Western democracies, Vladimir Putin is now sitting back, crossing his legs, and remembering the old Napoleon’s adage: never interrupt an enemy when he’s making a mistake. And maybe even wondering: can Russia outlast Western democracy itself?

When I was young, there was some kind of certainty. The certainty that two major superpowers ruled the world. The United States of America on one side (the brilliant good guys) and the Soviet Union on the other (the cruel bad guys). This certainty wasn’t necessarily a good thing. There was a good chance, a frightening chance, that we would all die in a tragic smoldering nuclear war. In fact, in my lifetime, as it turned out, unknown to most at that point, we were very close to nuclear war at least a couple of times. And the fear was always there, way worse than the feeling some have today that we will parish from climate change catastrophes.

When Mikhail Gorbachov came to power in 1985, a refreshing new start seemed possible. Maybe a new peaceful détente, less dangerous. That the Berlin wall would collapse withing four years and the Soviet Union would collapse within six years was still completely unthinkable. And yet, it happened. The good guys won.

What was equally unthinkable at the time, and maybe even very recently, was that American democracy and American values could collapse in the same way. And yet, just before our eyes, we are seeing the collapse of a second superpower. Curiously enough, ironically enough, at the hands of its old foe. Putin often refers to the fall of the Soviet Union as the worst tragedy of the twentieth century, and he’s doing whatever he can to recover the global power he once knew as a KGB officer. To do so, hurting America and the West is high in his priorities. It’s very doubtful that Donald Trump would have won his first election, let alone the second, without the dutiful help of Putin’s Russia.

Obviously, many people, including myself, underestimated the decades long decay of American values within American society, which is now undoubtedly plagued by old ghosts: racism, religious fanaticism, nationalistic isolationism, blind cultural and social defaultism, economic hubris, ignorance and censorship, the degrading arrogance of empires. All terrible things that are contrary to the most democratic and liberal American core values, and which Americans had been able to fight off for some time – with mixed success in the past, and now utter failure.

Whatever helped Trump climb to power, though, the fact is that he is systematically and effectively undermining USA’s superpower status, which means we are now witnessing, to my utmost surprise, the collapse of a second superpower from within. Trump is doing brutal and pernicious violence to the system, and this will have lasting effects on America’s strength. He has inspired enemies and rivals to action and convinced allies to stay away and fend for themselves. He has alienated friendly partners, like Canada or Japan, and emboldened tyrants and dictators, like North Korea’s or Iran’s.

Electing Donald Trump not once, but twice, is the worst single mistake America ever made.

Sometime in the past, I believed in Trickledown Economics. I believed that an economy would strive if investment surged and companies hired more people. That belief died in 2008, as banks were bailed out, quantitative easing led to flowing liquidity to the banks (not the economy at large), and no one was charged with any wrongdoing. Instead of an increase in investment and hiring, what we saw was companies buying back stock and saving themselves – enjoying the spoils of a major wealth transfer scheme and leading to increased inequality through the whole system.

Now, we are seeing something similar in the US. Trump’s tariffs represent the largest tax hike since 1968 (according to JP Morgan), and Trump’s corporate tax cuts are the largest in American history. An incredible wealth transfer scheme from the poorest to the richest.

Of course, the markets are loving it, not only because the scheme will increase their profits, but because they’re enjoying buying back their stock. However, they’re not hiring – knowing this is poor economic policy and will eventually lead to a downturn. And inflation is growing – so the engine of American economy, the American consumer, is being squeezed. The dollar is going down the drain, dumped all over the world. And nobody is buying US debt, as everybody seems to guess where the country is heading. It will not be pretty. It’s not pretty already, and American agriculture will be the first to suffer. It’s already suffering, in truth, with some saying it is crumbling under a ‘financial calamity’ (Reuters). Until the end of the year, and beyond, we’ll see it get worse and worse.

As I’ve written before, I believe that the biggest threats in the world today are old enemies: Aristocratic Thinking, Elitism and Corruption. And they fuel all other kinds of monsters: inequality, dwindling ethics, cronyism and nepotism, racism and xenophobia, inaction in face of Climate Change, Famine, Disease and Genocide, slow down of innovation and development, war, populism and cultish fanaticism. And, of course, Donald Trump is the poster child of Aristocratic Thinking, Elitism and Corruption.

It’s a pity. I believe the world needs a strong and effective United States of America. One that champions the Liberal Agenda enshrined in its Constitution. One that doesn’t stand on realpolitik and convenience, but on principle and democratic values. And now, as it is collapsing faster than we would ever imagine, we still hope it wakes up and rises from the ashes. And we hope Europe and its allies stand out and hold up, protecting democratic thinking, equality and solidarity.

As Winston Churchill would say, Americans usually do the right thing in the end, after exhausting every other option. I hope Donald Trump is only the latest option to be discarded, and I hope it is discarded in time. A fleeting hope… Trust, that fragile, essential, valuable gem, will take a long time to restore.